How to Pick the Lightning vs. Senators Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – October 19

Published 12:40 pm Friday, October 18, 2024

On Saturday, October 19 at 1:00 PM ET, the Tampa Bay Lightning are scheduled to clash with the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre. For best bets, picks, and projections for this matchup, keep reading.

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Lightning vs. Senators Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent went over 6.5 combined goals in 44 of 87 games last season.
  • Ottawa played 44 games last season with over 6.5 goals.
  • These teams averaged a combined 6.6 goals per game, 0.1 more than this one’s total.
  • Opponents of these two teams scored 6.7 goals per game combined, 0.2 more than this one’s over/under.
  • The Senators were 20th in the league in goals scored, compared to the fifth-ranked Lightning.
  • The Senators were 26th in the league in goals conceded, and the Lightning were 22nd.

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Moneyline Pick

Lightning Moneyline: -116

  • The Lightning won 31 of their 52 games when favored on the moneyline last season (59.6%).
  • When it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -116 or shorter, Tampa Bay had a 27-19 record (winning 58.7% of its games).
  • The Lightning have an implied moneyline win probability of 53.7% in this contest.

Senators Moneyline: -104

  • The Senators were an underdog 51 times last season, and upset their opponent in 21, or 41.2%, of those games.
  • Ottawa was 19-29 as an underdog of -104 or longer on the moneyline last season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 51.0% chance for the Senators to win.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 5, Ottawa 1

Lightning Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Nikita Kucherov was critical to Tampa Bay’s offense a year ago, putting up 144 points in 81 games.
  • Brayden Point recorded 90 points (46 goals, 44 assists), adding significantly to the team’s offensive efforts last season.
  • In 67 games a season ago, Jake Guentzel proved to be an important offensive option for Tampa Bay. He posted 77 points on the year (30 goals and 47 assists).
  • Last season for Tampa Bay, Andrei Vasilevskiy (30-20-2) posted a 2.9 goals-against average, and a save percentage of .900.

Senators Points Leaders (2023-24)

  • Brady Tkachuk had 37 goals (0.5 per game) and 37 assists (0.5 per game) last season, taking 4.4 shots per game and shooting 10.4%. That made him among the leaders for Ottawa with 74 total points (0.9 per game).
  • Tim Stutzle made a big impact for Ottawa last season with 70 points, thanks to 18 goals and 52 assists.
  • Drake Batherson scored 28 goals and contributed 38 assists for Ottawa, giving him a point total of 66.
  • Linus Ullmark had a record of 22-10-7 in 40 games last season, conceding 103 goals (2.6 goals against average) with a .915 save percentage, 11th in the league.

Lightning’s Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/11/2024 Hurricanes W 4-1 Away +127
10/15/2024 Canucks W 4-1 Home -135
10/17/2024 Golden Knights W 4-3 Home -152
10/19/2024 Senators Away -116
10/21/2024 Maple Leafs Away
10/22/2024 Devils Away
10/24/2024 Wild Home

Senators’ Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
10/12/2024 Canadiens L 4-1 Away -157
10/14/2024 Kings W 8-7 Home -114
10/17/2024 Devils L 3-1 Home +118
10/19/2024 Lightning Home -104
10/22/2024 Utah Hockey Club Away
10/25/2024 Golden Knights Away
10/27/2024 Avalanche Away

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Tampa Bay vs. Ottawa Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, October 19, 2024
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Ottawa, Ontario
  • Venue: Canadian Tire Centre

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