How to Pick the Panthers vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 3
Published 12:39 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025
The game between the Florida Panthers and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7 p.m. ET on Monday has a variety of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and predictions.
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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks
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Total Pick
Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)
- A total of 34 Florida games this season have gone over Monday’s total of 5.5 goals.
- So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with more than 5.5 goals.
- The Panthers score 3.28 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.56, adding up to 1.3 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 5.5.
- The 5.4 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.1 less than the total set for this contest.
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Moneyline Pick
Panthers Moneyline: -124
- The Panthers are 30-19 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
- In games it has played with moneyline odds of -124 or shorter, Florida has put together a 27-18 record (winning 60.0% of its games).
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Panthers have an implied probability of 55.4% to win.
Lightning Moneyline: +104
- In Tampa Bay’s 16 games playing as the moneyline underdog this season, it has six wins.
- The Lightning have three wins in games when their odds are +104 or longer on the moneyline (in 10 opportunities).
- Tampa Bay’s implied probability to win this matchup is 49.0% based on the moneyline.
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Score Prediction
Prediction:
Florida 4, Tampa Bay 3
Panthers Points Leaders
- A productive offensive player this season for Florida, Sam Reinhart has recorded 64 points.
- Matthew Tkachuk is another of Florida’s major contributors currently with 57 total points (22 goals and 35 assists) to his name.
- With 54 points through 51 games (14 goals and 40 assists), Aleksander Barkov Jr. has been an important part of Florida’s offensive attack this season.
- As Florida’s top goalie, Sergei Bobrovsky has recorded 25 wins and 13 losses this season while allowing 102 goals with 966 saves.
Lightning Points Leaders
- Nikita Kucherov is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 86 points (1.5 per game). He has scored 27 goals and 59 assists in 56 games (playing 20:31 per game).
- Tampa Bay’s Brandon Hagel has racked up 68 total points (1.2 per game), with 30 goals and 38 assists.
- Brayden Point has 31 goals and 30 assists for Florida.
- Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 29-15-3 this season, amassing 1202 saves and giving up 101 goals (2.2 goals against average) with a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league).
Panthers’ Schedule
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Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/25/2025 | Predators | W 4-1 | Away | -161 |
2/27/2025 | Oilers | W 4-3 | Home | -141 |
3/1/2025 | Flames | W 3-0 | Home | -281 |
3/3/2025 | Lightning | – | Home | -124 |
3/6/2025 | Blue Jackets | – | Home | – |
3/8/2025 | Sabres | – | Home | – |
3/11/2025 | Bruins | – | Away | – |
Lightning’s Schedule
Date | Opponent | Score | Home/Away | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|---|
2/25/2025 | Oilers | W 4-1 | Home | -120 |
2/27/2025 | Flames | W 3-0 | Home | -219 |
3/1/2025 | Capitals | W 3-1 | Away | -117 |
3/3/2025 | Panthers | – | Away | +104 |
3/4/2025 | Blue Jackets | – | Home | – |
3/6/2025 | Sabres | – | Home | – |
3/8/2025 | Bruins | – | Home | – |
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Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info
- Date: Monday, March 3, 2025
- Time: 7 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Location: Sunrise, Florida
- Venue: Amerant Bank Arena
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