How to Pick the Panthers vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – March 3

Published 12:39 pm Sunday, March 2, 2025

The game between the Florida Panthers and the Tampa Bay Lightning at 7 p.m. ET on Monday has a variety of betting possibilities to consider. With that in mind, here’s an in-depth look at our best bets, along with picks and predictions.

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Panthers vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

  • A total of 34 Florida games this season have gone over Monday’s total of 5.5 goals.
  • So far this season, 31 games Tampa Bay has played finished with more than 5.5 goals.
  • The Panthers score 3.28 goals per game, compared to the Lightning’s average of 3.56, adding up to 1.3 more goals than this contest’s over/under of 5.5.
  • The 5.4 goals per game these two teams concede are 0.1 less than the total set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Panthers Moneyline: -124

  • The Panthers are 30-19 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
  • In games it has played with moneyline odds of -124 or shorter, Florida has put together a 27-18 record (winning 60.0% of its games).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Panthers have an implied probability of 55.4% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +104

  • In Tampa Bay’s 16 games playing as the moneyline underdog this season, it has six wins.
  • The Lightning have three wins in games when their odds are +104 or longer on the moneyline (in 10 opportunities).
  • Tampa Bay’s implied probability to win this matchup is 49.0% based on the moneyline.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Florida 4, Tampa Bay 3

Panthers Points Leaders

  • A productive offensive player this season for Florida, Sam Reinhart has recorded 64 points.
  • Matthew Tkachuk is another of Florida’s major contributors currently with 57 total points (22 goals and 35 assists) to his name.
  • With 54 points through 51 games (14 goals and 40 assists), Aleksander Barkov Jr. has been an important part of Florida’s offensive attack this season.
  • As Florida’s top goalie, Sergei Bobrovsky has recorded 25 wins and 13 losses this season while allowing 102 goals with 966 saves.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Nikita Kucherov is a top offensive contributor for his squad with 86 points (1.5 per game). He has scored 27 goals and 59 assists in 56 games (playing 20:31 per game).
  • Tampa Bay’s Brandon Hagel has racked up 68 total points (1.2 per game), with 30 goals and 38 assists.
  • Brayden Point has 31 goals and 30 assists for Florida.
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 29-15-3 this season, amassing 1202 saves and giving up 101 goals (2.2 goals against average) with a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league).

Panthers’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/25/2025 Predators W 4-1 Away -161
2/27/2025 Oilers W 4-3 Home -141
3/1/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -281
3/3/2025 Lightning Home -124
3/6/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/8/2025 Sabres Home
3/11/2025 Bruins Away

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/25/2025 Oilers W 4-1 Home -120
2/27/2025 Flames W 3-0 Home -219
3/1/2025 Capitals W 3-1 Away -117
3/3/2025 Panthers Away +104
3/4/2025 Blue Jackets Home
3/6/2025 Sabres Home
3/8/2025 Bruins Home

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Florida vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

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