Sunday’s contest features the No. 16 Duke Blue Devils (22-7) and the No. 24 Florida State Seminoles (23-6) matching up at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center (on March 2) at 6 p.m. ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 75-72 win for Duke.

According to our computer prediction, Florida State is projected to cover the spread (3.5) against Duke. The two teams are projected to come in below the 152.5 over/under.

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Duke vs. Florida State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tallahassee, Florida
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
• Line: Duke -3.5
• Point total: 152.5
• Moneyline (to win): Duke -160, Florida State +135

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Duke vs. Florida State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Duke 75, Florida State 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Florida State

• Pick ATS: Florida State (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (152.5)

Duke has put together a 15-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Florida State is 8-6-0. The Blue Devils are 9-16-0 and the Seminoles are 8-6-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams score 164.1 points per game, 11.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Duke is 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its past 10 contests, while Florida State has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Duke Performance Insights

• The Blue Devils average 74.8 points per game (49th in college basketball) while allowing 58.5 per contest (57th in college basketball). They have a +473 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 16.3 points per game.
• Duke wins the rebound battle by 7.4 boards on average. It records 34.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 68th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.2 per contest.
• Duke knocks down 6 three-pointers per game (190th in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents (4.6). It is shooting 34.8% from beyond the arc (47th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 30.6%.
• The Blue Devils rank 71st in college basketball with 90.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 20th in college basketball defensively with 71 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Duke has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 14.5 per game (131st in college basketball action) while forcing 19.8 (20th in college basketball).

Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles put up 89.3 points per game (first in college basketball) while allowing 71.6 per outing (321st in college basketball). They have a +515 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 17.7 points per game.
• Florida State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 1.5 boards. It grabs 34.7 rebounds per game (66th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.2.
• Florida State hits 8.8 three-pointers per game (19th in college basketball) at a 36% rate (27th in college basketball), compared to the 5.6 per game its opponents make, at a 31.4% rate.
• Florida State wins the turnover battle by 5.4 per game, committing 10.7 (seventh in college basketball) while its opponents average 16.1.

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