If you’re seeking best bets for the Washington Capitals’ upcoming contest against the Tampa Bay Lightning on Saturday at 12:30 p.m. ET, then you’ve come to the right place. Read on, as we offer our picks and projections for this showdown.

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Capitals vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Over 5.5 (model projecting 6.2 goals)

• This season, 32 of Washington’s 59 games have gone over Saturday’s total of 5.5 goals.
• In Tampa Bay’s 58 games this season, 31 have finished with more goals than Saturday’s total of 5.5.
• These two teams combine for 7.2 goals per game, 1.6999999999999993 more than the total for this contest.
• These two teams give up a combined 5.2 goals per game, 0.3 less than this one’s over/under.

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Moneyline Pick

Capitals Moneyline: -128

• The Capitals have won 61.8% of their games when favored on the moneyline this season (21-13).
• In games it has played with moneyline odds of -128 or shorter, Washington has compiled an 18-11 record (winning 62.1% of its games).
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Capitals have an implied probability of 56.1% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: +108

• In Tampa Bay’s 16 games as the moneyline underdog this season, it has six wins.
• The Lightning have three wins in games when their odds are +108 or longer on the moneyline (in nine opportunities).
• Tampa Bay’s moneyline gives it an implied probability of 48.1% to win this contest.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Washington 4, Tampa Bay 2

Capitals Points Leaders

• With 18 goals and 41 assists this season, Dylan Strome is one of Washington’s leading contributors (59 points).
• With 23 goals and 27 assists, Aliaksei Protas is one of the top contributors for Washington with his 50 points (0.8 per game).
• Through 59 games, Pierre-Luc Dubois has proven himself as a scoring option for Washington. He has 49 points (14 goals and 35 assists).
• In the 33 games Logan Thompson has played this season, his save percentage is .919, the fifth-best in the league.

Lightning Points Leaders

• Nikita Kucherov has totaled 27 goals (0.5 per game) and put up 58 assists (one per game), taking 3.3 shots per game and shooting 14.2%. That makes him among the leaders for Tampa Bay with 85 total points (1.5 per game).
• Tampa Bay’s Brandon Hagel has racked up 67 total points (1.2 per game), with 29 goals and 38 assists.
• Tampa Bay’s Brayden Point has 60 points, courtesy of 31 goals (first on team) and 29 assists (fourth).
• Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 28-15-3 this season, collecting 1182 saves and allowing 100 goals (2.2 goals against average) with a .922 save percentage (fourth-best in the league).

Capitals’ Schedule

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Lightning’s Schedule

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Washington vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Venue: Capital One Arena

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