Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 9:18 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11) are heavily favored (by 12.5 points) to continue a three-game road win streak when they visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET.

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Thunder vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSE and FDSOK
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena

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Thunder vs. Hawks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 121 – Hawks 109

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Hawks

  • Pick ATS: Hawks (+ 12.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-12.0)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (242.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 229.8
  • The Thunder have had more success against the spread than the Hawks this season, sporting an ATS record of 35-23-0, as opposed to the 28-31-0 record of the Hawks.
  • Atlanta covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That’s more often than Oklahoma City covers as a favorite of 12.5 or more (60%).
  • When it comes to exceeding the total in 2024-25, Atlanta and its opponents aren’t as successful (57.6% of the time) as Oklahoma City and its opponents (58.6%).
  • The Thunder have an .818 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (45-10) this season while the Hawks have a .436 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (17-22).

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • In terms of points, the Thunder are thriving at both ends of the court, as they rank fourth-best in the league in points scored (118.6 per game) and second-best in points allowed (106 per contest).
  • So far this year, Oklahoma City is averaging 44.7 rebounds per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and allowing 45.6 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
  • So far this year, the Thunder rank 14th in the league in assists, averaging 26.5 per game.
  • Oklahoma City has been shining when it comes to turnovers this season, ranking best in the NBA in turnovers per game (11.2) and best in forced turnovers per contest (17.2).
  • The Thunder are making 14 three-pointers per game (eighth-ranked in NBA) this season, while sporting a 36.1% three-point percentage (13th-ranked).

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Hawks Performance Insights

  • Offensively the Hawks are the eighth-ranked team in the NBA (116.6 points per game). Defensively they are fourth-worst (119.2 points allowed per game).
  • Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds per game (44.9) and 17th in rebounds conceded (44.5).
  • This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
  • In 2024-25, Atlanta is 25th in the NBA in turnovers committed (15 per game) and second-best in turnovers forced (15.8).
  • Beyond the arc, the Hawks are 16th in the league in 3-pointers made per game (13.1). They are 19th in 3-point percentage at 34.9%.

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