Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 26
Published 9:16 pm Tuesday, February 25, 2025
Southeast Division foes meet when the Miami Heat (26-30) host the Atlanta Hawks (27-31) at Kaseya Center, tipping off at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Hawks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the teams this season.
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Heat vs. Hawks Game Info & Odds
- Date: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Heat vs. Hawks Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Heat 116 – Hawks 112
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Spread & Total Prediction for Heat vs. Hawks
- Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-3.3)
- Pick OU:
Under (229.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 228.0
- The Hawks have a 28-30-0 ATS record this season compared to the 25-31-0 mark from the Heat.
- As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Atlanta is 22-15 against the spread compared to the 15-15 ATS record Miami puts up as a 1.5-point favorite.
- When it comes to exceeding the point total in 2024-25, Atlanta and its opponents do it more often (56.9% of the time) than Miami and its opponents (53.6%).
- As a moneyline favorite this year, the Heat are 18-13, while the Hawks are 17-21 as moneyline underdogs.
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Heat Performance Insights
- This year, the Heat are averaging 109.7 points per game (24th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 110.7 points per contest (seventh-ranked).
- Miami is grabbing 44.1 boards per game (17th-ranked in NBA) this year, while allowing 45.7 rebounds per contest (25th-ranked).
- The Heat are averaging 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 17th in the NBA in 2024-25.
- This season, Miami is committing 12.7 turnovers per game (sixth-ranked in NBA) and forcing 12.6 turnovers per contest (23rd-ranked).
- The Heat are draining 13.8 threes per game (11th-ranked in league). They have a 35.6% shooting percentage (17th-ranked) from three-point land.
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Hawks Performance Insights
- Offensively the Hawks are the eighth-ranked team in the NBA (116.7 points per game). On defense they are fourth-worst (119 points conceded per game).
- Atlanta is 11th in the league in rebounds per game (45.1) and 19th in rebounds allowed (44.7).
- This season the Hawks are second-best in the NBA in assists at 29.3 per game.
- In terms of turnovers, Atlanta is fifth-worst in the league in committing them (15 per game). But it is second-best in forcing them (15.8 per game).
- In 2024-25, the Hawks are 15th in the NBA in 3-point makes (13.1 per game) and 20th in 3-point percentage (34.9%).
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