How to Pick the Oilers vs. Lightning Game with Odds, Spread, Betting Line and Stats – February 25

Published 12:39 pm Monday, February 24, 2025

Looking to put some money on the upcoming game (Tuesday at 7:30 PM ET) between the Edmonton Oilers and the Tampa Bay Lightning at Amalie Arena Below, we provide our best bets, along with our picks and predictions for this matchup.

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Oilers vs. Lightning Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

  • This season, Edmonton games have gone over this one’s 6.5-goal total 26 times.
  • So far this season, 24 games Tampa Bay has played finished with over 6.5 goals.
  • The total for this game (6.5) is 0.4 less than the combined scoring averages for the Oilers (3.30) and Lightning (3.57).
  • The 5.6 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.9 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Oilers Moneyline: -117

  • The Oilers are 30-22 when listed as a moneyline favorite this season.
  • Edmonton is 30-21 (winning 58.8% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -117 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Oilers have an implied probability of 53.9% to win.

Lightning Moneyline: -103

  • Tampa Bay has earned an upset victory six times when playing as the underdog on the moneyline this season (in 16 games as the underdog).
  • The Lightning have five wins in games when their moneyline odds are -103 or longer (in 13 such games).
  • Tampa Bay has a 50.7% chance to win this game (implied from its moneyline odds).

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Tampa Bay 4, Edmonton 2

Oilers Points Leaders

  • Leon Draisaitl is one of Edmonton’s leading contributors this season with 86 points. He has averaged 0.7 goals per game, shooting 22.1%.
  • Connor McDavid has 22 goals and 50 assists for Edmonton to compile 72 total points (1.3 per game).
  • Edmonton’s offensive effort is aided by Evan Bouchard’s 72 points. He’s contributed 35 assists.
  • Across 38 games played, Stuart Skinner has a goaltending record of 20-13-4. During those games, he’s allowed 103 goals while recording 908 saves.

Lightning Points Leaders

  • Tampa Bay’s Nikita Kucherov has collected 56 assists and 26 goals in 53 games, good for 82 points.
  • Brandon Hagel has made a major impact for Tampa Bay this season with 64 points, thanks to 27 goals and 37 assists.
  • Tampa Bay’s Brayden Point has 59 points, courtesy of 31 goals (first on team) and 28 assists (fourth).
  • Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy is 26-15-3 this season, collecting 1132 saves and permitting 99 goals (2.3 goals against average) with a .920 save percentage (fourth-best in the league).

Oilers’ Schedule

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Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/7/2025 Avalanche L 5-4 Home -183
2/22/2025 Flyers L 6-3 Away -200
2/23/2025 Capitals L 7-3 Away -138
2/25/2025 Lightning Away -117
2/27/2025 Panthers Away
3/1/2025 Hurricanes Away
3/4/2025 Ducks Home

Lightning’s Schedule

Date Opponent Score Home/Away Moneyline
2/8/2025 Red Wings W 6-3 Away -151
2/9/2025 Canadiens W 5-3 Away -172
2/23/2025 Kraken W 4-1 Home -279
2/25/2025 Oilers Home -103
2/27/2025 Flames Home
3/1/2025 Capitals Away
3/3/2025 Panthers Away

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Edmonton vs. Tampa Bay Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Venue: Amalie Arena

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