Monday’s contest features the North Carolina Tar Heels (17-11, 10-6 ACC) and the Florida State Seminoles (16-11, 7-9 ACC) squaring off at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 77-75 victory for North Carolina according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 24.

According to our computer prediction, Florida State projects to cover the 2.5-point spread in its matchup against North Carolina. The over/under is currently listed at 155.5, and the two teams are projected to fall short of that total.

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North Carolina vs. Florida State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 24, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tallahassee, Florida
• Venue: Donald L. Tucker Civic Center
• Line: North Carolina -2.5
• Point total: 155.5
• Moneyline (to win): North Carolina -137, Florida State +114

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North Carolina vs. Florida State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  North Carolina 77, Florida State 75

Spread & Total Prediction for North Carolina vs. Florida State

• Pick ATS: Florida State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (155.5)

North Carolina has compiled a 9-19-0 record against the spread this season, while Florida State is 15-12-0. The Tar Heels are 15-13-0 and the Seminoles are 12-15-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 156.4 points per game, 0.9 more points than this matchup’s total. North Carolina is 2-8 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its past 10 games, while Florida State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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North Carolina Performance Insights

• The Tar Heels average 80.9 points per game (36th in college basketball) while allowing 76.3 per contest (300th in college basketball). They have a +129 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 4.6 points per game.
• North Carolina grabs 33.4 rebounds per game (94th in college basketball) while allowing 31.9 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.5 boards per game.
• North Carolina connects on 7.4 three-pointers per game (208th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.1. It shoots 33.8% from deep while its opponents hit 34.0% from long range.
• The Tar Heels average 100.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (62nd in college basketball), and give up 95.2 points per 100 possessions (240th in college basketball).
• North Carolina and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Tar Heels commit 10.7 per game (124th in college basketball) and force 10.2 (294th in college basketball action).

Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles’ +110 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 75.5 points per game (135th in college basketball) while allowing 71.4 per outing (167th in college basketball).
• The 31.8 rebounds per game Florida State accumulates rank 195th in the nation. Their opponents record 31.6.
• Florida State makes 6.1 three-pointers per game (332nd in college basketball) at a 31.1% rate (320th in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per contest its opponents make, shooting 31.9% from beyond the arc.
• Florida State has committed 1.4 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.4 (282nd in college basketball) while forcing 13.8 (36th in college basketball).

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